Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Alverca
15.8%
Draw
75.6%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Alverca
vs
2.26
Benfica
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
0-5
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).