Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.7%
Birmingham
10.6%
Draw
5.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Birmingham
vs
0.60
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
4-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
2.7%
0-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).