Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
St Johnstone
28.1%
Draw
28.1%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
St Johnstone
vs
1.09
Livingston
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).