Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Watford
32.0%
Draw
31.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Watford
vs
1.09
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).