Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Brest
20.1%
Draw
60.4%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Brest
vs
2.00
Aris
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).