Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Zaragoza
30.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Zaragoza
vs
0.61
Lugo
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
0-0
16.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).