Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Augsburg
23.7%
Draw
27.4%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Augsburg
vs
1.39
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).