Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Oxford
27.7%
Draw
14.9%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Oxford
vs
0.64
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).