Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Stoke
30.9%
Draw
36.2%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Stoke
vs
1.16
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).