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16 Mar 2026 · 19:45

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Annecy
27.3%
Draw
35.3%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Annecy

vs
1.06

Troyes

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).