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14 Mar 2023 · 19:45

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Blackpool
27.0%
Draw
41.7%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Blackpool

vs
1.52

QPR

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).