Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Valencia
27.5%
Draw
28.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Valencia
vs
1.04
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).