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AHT: 03

30 Nov 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Arka Gdynia
27.5%
Draw
47.7%
Raków Częstochowa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Arka Gdynia

vs
1.55

Raków Częstochowa

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).