Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Nice
24.2%
Draw
38.2%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Nice
vs
1.45
Lille
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).