Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Portimonense
18.7%
Draw
55.6%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Portimonense
vs
2.40
Estoril
Markets
BTTS72.4%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-3
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
2-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).