Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Boston Utd
25.7%
Draw
24.3%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Boston Utd
vs
1.14
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).