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AHT: 11CSV

21 May 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Umraniyespor
33.0%
Draw
34.8%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Umraniyespor

vs
1.31

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).