Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
St Mirren
28.3%
Draw
53.9%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
St Mirren
vs
1.46
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
12.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).