Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Catanzaro
24.5%
Draw
18.6%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Catanzaro
vs
0.99
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).