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DHT: 11CSV

26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Woking

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Aldershot
25.2%
Draw
38.0%
Woking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Aldershot

vs
1.61

Woking

Markets

BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).