Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.0%
Kilmarnock
17.5%
Draw
68.4%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Kilmarnock
vs
2.61
Celtic
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
7.5%
0-3
7.0%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-4
5.2%
0-4
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
4.0%
2-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).