Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
AFC Wimbledon
29.6%
Draw
34.4%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.99
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).