Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Millwall
28.9%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Millwall
vs
0.73
Oxford
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).