Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Montpellier
15.5%
Draw
75.8%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Montpellier
vs
2.37
Lyon
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.6%
0-1
11.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
6.4%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
0-5
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).