Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Farense
27.7%
Draw
31.6%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Farense
vs
1.02
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).