Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Marseille
20.8%
Draw
30.6%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Marseille
vs
1.60
Lyon
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).