Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Crawley Town
16.6%
Draw
13.9%
Hereford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Crawley Town
vs
1.03
Hereford
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).