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21 Apr 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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89.2%
Galatasaray
9.0%
Draw
1.8%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.42

Galatasaray

vs
0.51

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
3.9%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).