Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Heidenheim
24.0%
Draw
16.8%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Heidenheim
vs
0.92
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).