Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Reading
23.7%
Draw
40.4%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Reading
vs
1.41
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).