Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Fuenlabrada
29.1%
Draw
24.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Fuenlabrada
vs
0.83
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).