Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.3%
Lorient
9.5%
Draw
5.2%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Lorient
vs
0.63
Niort
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
4-0
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
5.5%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).