Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
St. Gallen
22.7%
Draw
23.2%
Luzern
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
St. Gallen
vs
1.48
Luzern
Markets
BTTS70.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).