Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Ath Madrid
20.5%
Draw
11.8%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Ath Madrid
vs
0.69
Girona
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).