Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Fiorentina
23.9%
Draw
28.5%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Fiorentina
vs
1.22
Torino
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).