Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Harborough Town
19.9%
Draw
35.7%
Worksop Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Harborough Town
vs
1.93
Worksop Town
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
2-3
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
0-1
3.4%
3-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).