Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.9%
Celtic
9.3%
Draw
4.8%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
3.54
Celtic
vs
0.84
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.593.4%
Over 2.581.2%
Over 3.563.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
4-0
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
5.8%
5-1
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).