Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Watford
29.5%
Draw
26.0%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Watford
vs
0.99
Preston
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).