Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
11.6%
Draw
85.0%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
2.74
Leeds
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.7%
0-3
14.4%
0-1
11.1%
0-4
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
0-5
5.4%
1-1
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).