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13 Aug 2022 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Seraing
20.4%
Draw
67.7%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Seraing

vs
2.09

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.6%
0-1
11.5%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).