Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.6%
Altrincham
18.2%
Draw
72.1%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Altrincham
vs
2.33
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.4%
0-1
10.0%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.0%
1-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).