Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Alessandria
28.4%
Draw
50.8%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Alessandria
vs
1.51
Lecce
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.5%
0-2
10.4%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).