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16 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
Rochdale
25.1%
Draw
19.4%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Rochdale

vs
0.96

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).