Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Heidenheim
26.2%
Draw
54.2%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Heidenheim
vs
1.65
Mainz
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).