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AHT: 12CSV

20 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Elgin
26.3%
Draw
40.7%
Edinburgh City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Elgin

vs
1.76

Edinburgh City

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
1-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).