Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Alaves
31.1%
Draw
28.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Alaves
vs
0.88
Girona
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).