Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Le Mans
26.0%
Draw
44.3%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Le Mans
vs
1.29
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).