Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Magdeburg
26.9%
Draw
29.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Magdeburg
vs
1.27
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).