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AHT: 03CSV

23 Apr 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.6%
Ternana
25.0%
Draw
57.4%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Ternana

vs
1.81

Venezia

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).