⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 00

03 Mar 2026 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
20.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
26.7%
Draw
53.2%
Liverpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.74

Liverpool

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).